Trump’s Campaign Manager Says The Polls Are ‘Askew’
Written by Huffingtonpost on July 24, 2020
Donald Trump’s new presidential marketing campaign supervisor stated Friday that public polls had been underestimating assist for the president, making a extra tutorial model of his boss’ assertion that polls displaying him badly trailing presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden are “pretend.”
“Nationwide polls preserve getting it improper,” stated Invoice Stepien, a former high aide to then-New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie who changed Brad Parscale as Trump’s marketing campaign supervisor final week. “Nationwide polls are sometimes askew from what 2016 exit polls had been.”
In a briefing for reporters, Stepien argued that many nationwide and state-level surveys of the presidential race are undercounting Republicans, noting the share of Republican voters in lots of polling samples is decrease than state percentages of registered Republican voters.
Pollsters sometimes don’t weight their outcomes to mirror states’ celebration registration breakdowns — as they usually do with demographics like gender, race, age or schooling ranges —as a result of survey respondents usually say they determine with a celebration completely different than the one they’re registered with. For instance, many citizens in Appalachian areas registered as Democrats years in the past, regardless that they maintain conservative views and now take into account themselves Republicans.
Stepien’s argument, along with echoing Trump’s latest declare that polls displaying him shedding had been “pretend in 2016, and now they’re much more pretend,” additionally resembles an argument incessantly trotted out to clarify GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney’s deficit in opposition to President Barack Obama in 2012.
Stepien predicted a “knock-down, drag-out battle to the very finish” between Trump and Biden. He stated the marketing campaign was assured in its technique and planning, noting it had deployed floor staffers for greater than a yr in key states like North Carolina. The Biden marketing campaign solely started rolling out state-level staffers in latest weeks.
“We all know right here at our headquarters what our inside numbers say, and it’s why we exude the quiet confidence in our plan and in our mission,” Stepien stated.
He additionally mockingly invited the Biden marketing campaign to pour sources into Georgia and Texas, two historically GOP-leaning states the place surveys have proven a detailed race and the place some Republicans have expressed concern about Trump’s standing in populous suburban counties.
“I’d invite the Biden marketing campaign to play in Texas. They need to play exhausting. They need to go after Texas actually, actually closely, spend some huge cash within the Dallas and Houston media markets,” he instructed reporters. “I’ll even purchase their first advert.”
Whereas Stepien was publicly bullish, the marketing campaign’s spending tells a unique story about Trump’s standing in Georgia and Texas. Trump has already spent almost $5 million on adverts in Texas, in response to the advert monitoring service Kantar/CMAG, and $three million in Georgia. Biden has spent simply $1 million in Texas and $500,000 in Georgia.
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